Today's MLB odds, best bets: Yank atlanta braves jersey 52 ees

July 8, 2022 By Sloan Piva 0


As we surge closer to the midsummer Classic, the MLB playoff race keeps heating up. No stretch of sports flies by quicker than summer baseball — in the blink of an eye, September will be here. As always, we see a ton of divisional matchups from here on out. For instance, the Red Sox and Yankees face each otGiancarlo Stanton her a whopping 16 games between this weekend and the end of the regular season — good for 20 percent of each team’s remaining schedule.

DKNY Sport As games become increasingly meaningful — both for divisional pride and playoff positioning — the action becomes more fun to bet. We have a larger sample size to work with analytically, with batter-vs-pitcher data and various other situational stats. Thus, we have more of an edge each time we place an MLB wager.

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Let’s dive into Saturday’s MLB slate, particularly keying in on the nationally-televised games. We’ll take a brief look at FS1’s matinee between the Reds and the Rays, then we’ll discuss with more detail our best bets and props for the two Fox Games of the Week: Yankees-Red Sox and Giants-Padres.

All betting data is from DraftKings Sportsbook.

MLB best bets and props for Saturday

Tampa Bay Rays at Cincinnati Reds

Drew Rasmussen (RHP, 5-3, 3.30 ERA, 51 SO, 62.2 IP) vs. Hunter Greene (RHP, 3-10, 6.01 ERA, 98 SO, 79.1 IP)
Game time: 4:10 p.m. ET, Great American Ball Park
Broadcast: FS1

Besides a mid-June IL stint with a left hamstring strain, Rays starting pitcher Drew Rasmussen has enjoyed a solid start to his second full season in the MLB. He might be highly motivated in Cincy today — in fact, he probably circled this date when Tampa first received its 2022 schedule.

The last time Rasmussen faced the Reds, 11 games into his professional career as a Brewer back in 2020, he had a wild two-thirds of an inning in relief. He struck out two, but gave up two home runs and three earned runs on three hits and a walk. The 26-year-old righty is a much improved pitcher since then, and the Reds are also much worse offensively (bottom-third of the MLB in hits, home runs, average, OBP, and slugging).

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Rasmussen returned to the rotation last Saturday after recovering from the hammy, allowing one earned run on five hits over 4.2 innings in Toronto. He seemed upset about getting the hook from manager Kevin Cash before finishing the fifth, and should be raring to go six frames this afternoon.

On the hill for Cincy, rookie flamethrower Hunter Greene has been scorched this season. His ERA has gone up past 6.00 thanks in large part to his MLB-leading 22 home runs allowed. Greene strikes out a ton of batters — 11.1 per nine innings — but he struggles to limit baserunners and keep the ball in the yard.

While the Reds offense should be quiet once again, stud Tampa hitters Isaac Paredes and Randy Arozarena and the rest of the Rays should have a fun day. Paredes and Arozarena both have eight home runs against right-handed pitchers this season, and the Rays have 60 of their 77 homers against righties.

Betting Outlook: Rays -1.5 (+115); Rays first to five runs (-110); also watch for Arozarena and Paredes home run and 2+ hit props

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres

Carlos Rodon (LHP, 7-5, 2.87 ERA, 112 SO, 91 IMLB Camo Apparel P) vs. Yu Darvish (RHP, 7-4, 3.53 ERA, 85 SO, 94.1 IP)
Game time: 7:15 p.m. ET, Petco Park
Broadcast: FOX

This matchup pits two veteran hurlers coming off All-Star seasons. Darvish has been solid, but he's nowhere near how effective he was over the past two seasons (he led the MLB with eight wins and finished second in NL Cy Young voting in 2020, and had 199 strikeouts in 166 innings last season). Despite San Francisco teetering around .500 this season, Rodon has looked much more dominant than Darvish.

The Giants ace, who has tried to light a fire in his clubhouse, has a staggering 11.1 K/9 to go along with a 2.87 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. His 2.24 FIP and 0.4 home runs allowed per nine innings rank best in the NL. He also dominates night games, with a 6-3 record, 2.87 ERA, and 1.09 WHIP after dark. The veteran lefty has only allowed three home runs in 69 innings of evening ball.

That’s bad news for the Padres, who have already struggled in the power department this season without franchise player Fernando Tatis. Stud third baseman Manny Machado had been on fire, but he suffered a left ankl atlanta braves jersey women button up e sprain on June 19 that forced him to miss some time. Since Machado’s return on June 30, he’s just 3-of-19 with zero RBIs. Incidentally, the Padres are 3-8 over their past 11 games.

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I’m going with Rodon and the Giants here even though the Friars have a 4-2 season advantage to date. Darvish had trouble with San Francisco earlier this season, suffering a cataclysmic line: nine earned runs on eight hits and two walks over just 1.2 innings. The five-time All-Star also allowed five earned runs in his last game against the Dodgers. He has 19 strikeouts in 12 innings over San Diego’s past two games, but he also has eight earned runs on 15 hits in that span. San Francisco for the win!

Betting outlook: Giants moneyline -105; Darvish (-105) and Rodon (+105) OVER 6.5 strikeouts (TBD)

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox

Jordan Montgomery (LHP, 3-2, 3.19 ERA, 72 SO, 90.1 IP) vs. Kutter Crawford (RHP, 2-2, 5.04 ERA, 32 SO, 21 IP)
Game time: 7:15 p.m. ET, Fenway Park
Broadcast: FOX

The historic rivalry between the Red Sox and Yan atlanta braves jersey xl nike kees always provides fans with some regular-season drama, especially when both teams are in playoff position like they are right now. As of this writing, the AL East foes have somehow only met five times so far this season — whi atlanta braves jersey button up ch means they clash an unfathomable 14 more times starting this weekend. Now the Sox have their backs against the wall, losing the first two games of this series and four out of five total this season. This feels like a must-win for Boston — we could be in for a treat, or atlanta braves jersey small a real beat-down.

The Yankees (61-23) have been sizzling all season, and have six more victories than the next-winningest MLB team (Houston, 55-28). Not surprisingly, the Bronx Bombers are guided by the long ball, with Aaron Judge leading the free world with 30 home runs, and the team as a whole pacing the MLB with 143 homers and 416 RBIs (12 more homers and 25 more RBIs than any other squad).

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New York isn’t just dominating in the batter’s box, though. Amazingly, pinstriped pitchers also entered the weekend with an MLB-leading 2.90 ERA, .211 batting average against, and 1.06 WHIP. That’s bad-news-bears for the BoSox, who have struggled at times against top-tier pitching this season.

When Boston faced the Yanks earlier in the season, Red Sox batters hit .186 and struck out 31 times in 102 at-bats. New York fared much better with a .235 average — still not great, but much better than .186 — while mashing five homers and 13 RBIs to win the series 2-1. Boston also fell to their rivals in a close 6-5 series-opener Thursday, and then got trounced by the Bombers 12-5 in a statement game Friday night.

The Yankees should secure another W against Boston today. Montgomery had a slow start to his 2022 campaign — he recorded his first win 10 starts into the season — but he’s been solid since May 31. In the seven games within that span, the 29-year-old southpaw has a 3-1 record with 15 earned runs over 44 innings. He also has 14 strikeouts and just four walks in his past two games.

Until the past week and a half, the Sox haMLB Home and Office Decord been playing much better over a two-month span than in their horrendous start to the season. That’s not saying much, but the fact remains that Alex Cora’s squad has battled back into a playoff spot. Their fate will ultimately ride heavily on the remaVineyard Vines ining games in this interdivisional rivalry, though. You won't succeed if you can't beat your closest foes. And Pedro Martinez ain't walkin' through that clubhouse door! Nope, Kutter Crawford's strolling in, with his ERA of 5-plus.

The Sox are 3-8 over their past 11 games, while the Yankees are 8-3 in that same timeframe. I’m expecting the Yankees will further distance themselves from Boston this weekend, as they are quite simply the better team offensively, on the mound, and out of the bullpen. Sorry, Sox Nation — you might want to temper your postseason expectations now.

Betting Outlook: Yankees -1.5 (+110); -164 ML, Jud atlanta braves jersey men l ge home run (+280)